APPENDIX A: Water Use And Supplies, Data and Calculations
Municipal, Industrial and Domestic (M&I) Water Use
Population statistics and per capita water use rates were used
to estimate Yolo County 1990 M&I water demands. Table A.1
gives the 1990 population data and future M&I projections
for Yolo County. Two different annual water use rates for the
County were selected: a value of 0.273 acre-feet/person for the
city of Davis and a value of 0.316 acre-feet/person for the rest
of the County (adjusted projection from Scott, et al., 1975).
The lower level for Davis results from Davis's greater orientation
towards water conservation. No attempt has been made here to
forecast future changes in these use rates. In this study, West
Sacramento has been excluded from the County's M&I demand
because its water supplies are met separately with water from
the Sacramento River.
Yolo County M&I annual water use levels for 1990 and 2010,
as reported in Table A.2, are 37,500 and 53,700 acre-feet, respectively.
The 1990 monthly M&I water use is listed in Table A.3. These
numbers were estimated using the monthly average percentages
of annual water use for Davis applied to the County-wide annual
M&I total estimate.
Agricultural Water Use
Estimating agricultural water use in Yolo is hampered by the
lack of accurate and current land use data on the spatial distribution
of irrigated crops. The most comprehensive summaries are provided
by the Yolo County Agriculture Department in their biennial crop
reports. However, these surveys are intended mainly for economic
purposes and do not give precise details of irrigation practices.
Uncertainties in determining irrigation water use are also inherent
in the fact that large amounts of irrigation water come from
unmetered supplies such as private groundwater wells, or private
surface water withdrawals. Consequently many assumptions about
irrigation practices had to be made for this study. Agricultural
crop water requirements were estimated using the most recently
available crop report (Yolo
County Agriculture Department, 1989).
Average year crop evapotranspiration (ETc) requirements, on a
monthly basis, were determined for the local climate and cropping
schedules. Irrigation efficiencies typical for farming practices
in Yolo County were chosen.
The different crop acreages under irrigation in Yolo County in
1989 are given in Table A.4. Crops listed in the first column
come directly from the 1989 Yolo County Agricultural Crop Report.
Those crops which were irrigated have been grouped into categories
based on similar crop evapotranspiration requirements and irrigation
practices. ETc values listed in Table A.4 and their monthly percentages
listed in Table A.5 have been calculated from more detailed local
CIMIS (California Irrigation Management Information System) data
(Miyao, 1991)
or estimated from regional data (State
of California, Department of Water Resources, 1975)
or from local experts.
By combining crop acres, annual ETc and overall irrigation efficiencies,
the total annual on-farm water use given in Table A.6 was calculated.
The last column in Table A.6 is the final 1989 crop water requirement
adjusted for the County-wide reuse rate. Under average climatic
conditions, rainfall is assumed to supply all water requirements
for the months of November, December, January and February, and
a portion of those for October and March as indicated in Table
A.7. Effectively, this rainfall contribution to irrigated crop
production, on average, amounts to about 0.27 feet of water per
acre of irrigated land. In drought years, the precipitation contribution
is reduced, resulting in a larger net irrigation water demand
compared to normal years. The net on-farm irrigation water demand
for Yolo county, based on maintaining 1989 crop production levels,
has been estimated for three climatic conditions in Table A.7
-- normal year, 'moderate' drought, and 'severe' drought conditions.
A 'moderate' drought represents a 25 percent reduction in the
precipitation contribution, while a 'severe' drought reflects
precipitation conditions such as those experienced in 1990 when
a total of 12.51 inches fell. Monthly rainfall for 1990 is reported
in Table A.7a. Using the estimates of the effective rainfall
contribution to crop production for 1990 given in column 8 of
Table A.7, a 'severe' drought results in a 53 percent reduction
in the normal year precipitation contribution.
Estimation of Average
Groundwater Pumping
Table A.8 shows the total water use for Yolo County, combining
M&I and agricultural demands. All M&I uses are supplied
only by groundwater. Irrigation uses both surface and groundwater,
but most of the surface water sources and all the groundwater
supply for agriculture are not measured. In Table A.8 groundwater
pumping for irrigated agriculture was estimated at 43 percent
of the net irrigated water use total. If 100 percent of all contracted/permitted
surface water (583,000 acre-feet/year, see Table 2) were used,
groundwater would have to provide a theoretical minimum of 37
percent of total on-farm agricultural water use. A level of 43
percent reflects a surface water use rate, at the farm point,
of 90 percent of all permitted/contracted quantities.
The estimates by (Scott,
et al. ,1975) of actual and projected
groundwater use in Yolo County are the most detailed and currently
available estimates. In Scott's 1990 projections, groundwater
accounts for 40 percent of agricultural water supplies. Adjusting
his 1990 projections for new surface water supplies (19,000 acre-feet/year
of Tehama-Colusa Canal water) and for higher actual irrigated
crop acreages (302,600 acres over Scott's projected 253,200 acres)
indicates that groundwater would have to supply 48 percent of
agricultural water demands. This discussion points out the uncertainty
involved in determining groundwater pumping. An accurate assessment
would involve obtaining the electric consumption data and well
characteristics for all irrigation wells in the County. If the
range from 37 percent to 48 percent can be considered as reasonable
for the percentage of agricultural demands supplied by groundwater,
then the average current level of groundwater pumping in Yolo
County is between 380,500 and 482,400 acre-feet/year.
This study uses the mid-point value of this range.
Estimation of Drought
Year Groundwater Pumping
Two scenarios were developed to evaluate the possible impact
of drought on groundwater pumping levels. Under a 'moderate'
drought, a 25 percent reduction in surface water supplies from
permitted/contracted amounts was assumed. Under the 'severe'
drought scenario, reductions in surface water supplies at levels
that were occurring or were being programmed for in 1991 have
been assumed, i.e. no YCFCWCD supplies, 50 percent reduction
in USBR contracted supplies, and 25 percent reductions in Sacramento
River riparian and appropriative rights. While the USBR and Sacramento
River projected reductions for 1991 did not fully materialize
because of the unusually heavy March rains, out-of-County transfers
of well over 100,000 acre-feet of mostly surface water from Yolo
County effectively resulted in substantial surface water use
reductions for the County.
Table A.9 shows the amount of groundwater and surface water that
would be required to meet 1990 water demands under the two drought
scenarios. The annual groundwater contribution to normal year
water use increases from 45 to 56 percent in 'moderate' drought
years and from 45 to 75 percent in 'severe' drought years. These
increases translate into incremental volumes of 113,500 acre-ft
and 324,000 acre-feet of groundwater pumping respectively. |